The Federal Government has initiated moves to increase its 2025 budget to N54.2 trillion, up by 9.1% from N49.7 trillion initially presented to the National Assembly on December 18, 2024. This development has sparked concerns among financial analysts and public affairs commentators, who warn that the increase poses a significant threat to macroeconomic stability.
According to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu's letter to the National Assembly, the increase is necessitated by additional revenues from key government agencies, including N1.4 trillion from the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), N1.2 trillion from the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS), and N1.8 trillion from other government-owned entities.
The proposed allocation of the additional revenue includes: Solid Minerals Sector: N1 trillion to support economic diversification and unlock the potential of Nigeria's vast solid mineral resources. Recapitalization of the Bank of Agriculture (BoA) N1.5 trillion to transform Nigeria's agricultural landscape, ensure food security, and empower smallholder farmers and agribusinesses.
Recapitalization of the Bank of Industry (BoI) N500 billion to provide critical support to small and medium enterprises (SMEs), drive local manufacturing, and reduce dependence on imports.
Critical Infrastructure Projects (RHID Fund) N1.5 trillion allocated to various projects, including irrigation development, transportation infrastructure, border communities infrastructure, military barracks accommodation, and military aviation.
Financial analysts have expressed concerns that the increase in the budget will exacerbate inflation, exchange rate, and fiscal deficit issues. David Adonri, Executive Vice Chairman at Highcap Securities Limited, noted that the financial management practice of the Federal Government does not inspire confidence, citing conflicts between fiscal policy and monetary policy.
Others, such as Oluwole Adeosun, former President of the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS), have argued that the increase in the budget is necessary to address Nigeria's critical infrastructure needs and promote economic growth.
The National Assembly has been directed to expedite consideration of the proposed increase, with the aim of passing the budget before the end of February. However, stakeholders have raised concerns about the lack of detailed clarifications on the expected additional sources of income to warrant the increase in the budget.